Compass Investments

– XRP is “in serious trouble” until it overcomes this key resistance

XRP recently attempted a recovery when the overall crypto market reacted to the Israeli-Iranian conflict by rising above $1.5 before sliding to $1.46.

Despite the recent rebound, chart data indicates that XRP is still in serious trouble as it continues to record lower lows and higher peaks.

XRP initially moved within a parallel channel with resistance at $3.45 and support at $1.8 when the downtrend began in Q4 2025.

In January 2026, XRP broke through the lower boundary of the channel, losing support at $1.8, and has been below that threshold ever since.

If XRP fails to regain the $1.8 support level, which has now become a resistance zone, it will remain in serious trouble despite recent gains.

this picture was noted in a recent market report by analyst Sjuul of AltCryptoGems channel, as XRP faces obstacles within the current rebound.

For reference, after falling to a low of $1.27 on Feb. 28 amid initial reactions to the Israeli-Iranian conflict, XRP eventually recovered along with the rest of the crypto market, first soaring to a high of $1.47 before correcting to $1.32 on March 8.

After this downturn, the bulls regained momentum, and from March 9 to 16, XRP posted seven intraday gains out of eight days, the longest bullish period since September 2025. During that time, XRP gained 14.9% , regained $1.5 and closed March 16 at $1.54.

However, a further attempt to break through the $1.6 mark earlier this week ran into resistance at $1.6074, triggering a successive pullback in XRP as overall market momentum wanes. XRP is now trading near $1.46, marking the third consecutive day of declines.

XRP “in serious trouble.

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Commenting on the recent upside attempt and subsequent correction, Sewul says he continues to see XRP as “in serious trouble” when looking at the bigger picture. He presented data from a daily chart that confirms XRP has been moving within a major parallel channel throughout 2025, despite the difficulties beginning in Q4 2025.

For context, this channel includes a resistance line near $3.45 and a support line near $1.8. Through 2025, XRP has been predominantly in between both trend lines. The data from the attached chart shows that since reaching an all-time high of $3.6 in July 2025, XRP has recorded a series of lower declines and lower peaks.

This contributed to the downtrend that started in October 2025 and pushed XRP below the psychological marks of $3 and $2. However, despite the volatility, XRP remained within a parallel channel throughout 2025, holding above the important support level of $1.8.

The situation changed in January 2026, when XRP closed below $1.8 at the end of the month. Since then, the price has failed to recover or even test the $1.8 mark, which has turned from support into resistance. It is against this backdrop that Sewul insists that XRP is still in serious trouble.

The market expert also pointed to a positive development that could help XRP get out of an unfavorable phase, and a potential downside target if this development does not occur. According to him, XRP needs to retake the level of $1.8 and return inside the parallel channel before we can talk about the annulment of the bearish vector.